Which commodity prices are records once inflation is removed?
Of the 1 benchmark prices below, 5 set a record in cash terms in the last six months, but none is within 5% of its peak once prices are adjusted for US inflation. The closest is tobacco, at 34% of its real peak. 0 cost a quarter or less of what they did at their real peak, and 0 of those peaked in the 1970s.
A cash price record says little on its own, because a dollar bought far more in 1974 than it does in the latest month on file. Adjusting each monthly average by the US consumer price index (in 2024 dollars) lets old and new prices be compared. The last column shows the latest real price as a share of the highest real price in the series. See nominal versus real prices for how the adjustment works. Data to July 2026; click a heading to sort.
| Commodity | Latest price | Record (cash) | When | Real peak | Latest as % of real peak | 5 years | 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobacco | $6,775/t | $7,054/t | August 2025 | January 1960 | 34% | +66% | +129% |
World Bank Commodity Price Data (the Pink Sheet), primary series for each commodity, monthly averages; US consumer price index from FRED (BLS). Series start at different dates (most in 1960), so "peak" means the highest month in the series shown. Cash changes over 20 years are only shown where the series is at least 20 years long. Prices are monthly benchmark averages and are not investment advice.
More patterns
- Concentration:
- Producer or exporter?:
- Growth and decline:
- Linked prices and seasons:
- A century of real prices:
- Supplier exposure:
- Trade after export controls:
- Export share history:
- Prices around export controls:
- Export basket prices:
- Substitution coverage:
- Critical risk matrix:
- Country reserve life:
- Prices and cumulative output:
- US import reliance and recycling:
- Data confidence:
- Export controls and bans:
- Chokepoints:
- By-product minerals:
- Peak production:
- Reserves and mining:
- Supply concentration:
- Land or yield?:
- Supply shocks and prices:
- Category price indices:
- Drawdowns and volatility:
- Stocks and prices:
- Which prices follow oil?:
- How reliable is the data?:
- Net exporters and importers:
- Country leaders:
- Export dependency:
- Concentration over time:
- Import dependency:
- Supplier shifts:
- Trade price against benchmark:
- Prices in other currencies:
- Do prices lead each other?:
- Volatility over time:
- Seasonality:
- Price ratios:
- El Niño and prices:
- Who consumes it:
- Self-sufficiency:
- Trade flows:
Every figure is computed from the same tables as the commodity pages. The full set is in patterns.json, and single facts from it appear each day on the facts page.